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    中国页岩气成藏和潜在产能与对环境的污染分析

    An analysis of reservoir formation, potential productivity and environmental pollution effect of shale gas in China

    • 摘要: 提要:基于当今化石能源的需求还在扩展,它的紧缺势态波及全球,而中国的确需要更多的页岩气。为此,非常规油、气能源,特别是页岩油、气的勘探、开发和利用就必然地提上了社会进步和经济发展的议程上,并得到世界各个国家的高度重视。因此,页岩油、气现已成为中国能源界和科技界及政府部门的热门话题。在经过了一段时间的“热炒”和依据尚不充分的评估后,本文通过对中外有关资料的分析和讨论认为,(1)必须在了解世界各国、特别是北美页岩油、气赋存与开发的条件下,独立自主地、依据充分地认识中国页岩的分布状态和页岩气的潜能;(2)在理解其他国家页岩属性、页岩气前景和勘查及储存背景下,在中国必须较全面的进行页岩和页岩气存储的地球物理勘探,并选择远景好的典型地区进行示范性研究与探索;(3)厘定页岩气的开采过程与条件及其对环境的污染程度和多个国家对开发页岩气质疑的核心;(4)集理念与实践认识综合制定研究中国页岩气切实可行的方案与怎样发展的路线图;(5)中国目前尚不宜大力投入和急于实施对页岩气的开采,其前景不容过于乐观。

       

      Abstract: Abstract:China actually needs more shale oil/gas resources because the demand for fossil energy is expanding at present and its shortage tendency sweeps the whole world. Therefore, unconventional oil/gas resources, especially the exploration, development and utilization of shale oil/gas resources have been put on the agenda of social progress and economic development, and have been highly emphasized by many countries in the world. Consequently, shale oil/gas has now become a hot topic in China’s energy and technology fields and government departments. After a period of hot-hype and assessment without sufficient grounds, the authors put forward some points of view on the basis of an analysis and discussion of data available both in China and abroad, i.e. we should (1) comprehend the modes of occurrence and development conditions of shale oil/gas countries all over the world, especially in North America, and then understand independently the distribution state and potential in China based on adequate evidence; (2) understand the attributes and prospects of shale gas, the background of survey and storage in China, and more comprehensively carry out geophysical exploration of shale and shale gas as well as choose good promising typical areas for demonstration research, acquisition and exploration; (3) redefine the exploitation process, condition and environmental pollution degree of shale gas and key questions queried by many countries in the development of shale gas; (4) formulate comprehensively the development scheme and development route-map of shale gas in China from the viewpoint of concepts, practices and understanding; (5) not invest vigorously and implement eagerly exploitation and development of shale gas at present because the prospect is not optimistic.

       

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